13."Hypotheses,"said Medawarin 1964,"are imaginative and inspirational in character"; they are"adventures of the mind".He was arguing in favour of the position taken by Karl Popper that the nature of scientific method is hypothetico-deductive and not,as is generally believed,inductive.
The myth(誤區(qū)) of scientific method is that it is inductive:that the formulation of scientific theory starts with the basic,raw evidence of the senses-simple,fair,unprejudiced observation.Out of these sensory data-commonly referred to as"facts"-generalisations will form.The myth is that from a disorderly collection of factual information an orderly,relevant theory will somehow come out.However,the starting point of induction is an impossible one.
There is no such thing as an unprejudiced observation.Every act of observation we make is a function of what we have seen or otherwise experienced in the past.All scientific work of an experimental or exploratory nature starts with some expectation about the outcome.This expectation is a hypothesis.Hypotheses provide the motivation for the inquiry(探究),and influence the method.It is in the light of an expectation that some observations are held to be relevant and some irrelevant,that one method is chosen and others abandoned,that some experiments are conducted and others are not.
Hypotheses arise by guesswork,or by inspiration,but having been started they can and must be tested thoroughly,using the appropriate method.If the predictions you make as a result of deducing certain consequences from your hypothesis are not shown to be correct then you abandon or adjust your hypothesis.If the predictions turn out to be correct then your hypothesis has been supported and may be kept until such time as some further test shows it not to be correct.Once you have arrived at your hypothesis,which is a product of your imagination,you then move on to a strictly logical and thorough process,based upon deductive argument-therefore the term"hypothetico-deductive".
So don't worry if you have some idea of what your results will tell you before you even begin to collect data; there are no scientists in existence who really wait until they have all the evidence in front of them before they try to work out what it might possibly mean.The closest we ever get to this situation is when something happens by accident; but even then the researcher has to make a hypothesis to be tested before being sure that,for example,a medicine might prove to be a successful solution to bacterial(細(xì)菌) infection.
The hypothetico-deductive method describes the logical approach to much research work,but it does not describe the psychological behaviour that brings it about.The psychological behaviour is a much more complicated process-involving guesses,reworkings,corrections,and above all inspiration,in the deductive as well as the hypothetic component.However,describing the logical approach is like writing the final thesis(畢業(yè)論文) or published papers of research work.These theses and papers have been,quite properly,organised into a more logical order so that the worth of the output may be evaluated independently of the behavioural processes by which it was obtained.It is the difference,for example between the academic papers with which Crick and Watson demonstrated the structure of the DNA molecule(分子) and the fascinating book The Double Helix in which Watson (1968)described how they did it.From this point of view,the scientific method may more usefully be thought of as a way of writing up research rather than as a way of carrying it out.
65.What is right about the deductive method and the inductive method according to the author?D
A.They cannot exist in a research at the same time.
B.The former one is of greater importance than the latter.
C.The latter one is more scientific than the former one.
D.The former is closer to the nature of scientific research.
66.Which of the following best supports the author's main opinion shown in paragraph 2?B
A.Usually facts are more convincing than predictions.
B.People always observe based on what they have seen or experienced.
C.It is impossible to generalize disorder facts into orderly theories.
D.People all begin scientific work with the observation of evidences.
67.Which of the following about a hypothesis is right?A
A.It functions as a guide in the process of a scientific research.
B.It works as a means that can help make unprejudiced observations.
C.It is an expectation unrelated to guesswork and inspiration.
D.It is a prediction which will be arrived at sooner or later.
68.According to the author,a good scientific research is a processC.
A.starting from details and ending in generalisations
B.where observations play more role than expectations do
C.where hypothesis are gradually tested before finally approved
D.which cannot be started before enough evidences are collected
69.What does the last sentence of the passage mean?B
A.The hypothetico-deductive method plays an important role in describing a research.
B.The scientific method is more a way of describing research than a way of doing it.
C.Describing the logical approach is harder than describing the psychological behaviour.
D.Writing up a scientific research paper is as difficult as carrying out the research.
70.Which of the following can best serve as the title of the passage?D
A.Generalisations of Scientific Theory
B.Hypotheses of Scientific Research.
C.The Psychological Behaviour
D.The Scientific Method.
分析 本文講述了科學(xué)研究的兩種方法--演繹法和歸納法,并敘述了它們的區(qū)別和用途.
解答 65.D.細(xì)節(jié)理解題.由第一段the nature of scientific method is hypothetico-deductive and not,as is generally believed,inductive,科學(xué)方法的本質(zhì)是--演繹法,而不是一般認(rèn)為的歸納法,故選D.
66.B.理解推斷題.由第二段that the formulation of scientific theory starts with the basic,raw evidence of the senses-simple,fair,unprejudiced observation可知作者認(rèn)為科學(xué)理論的形成是從基礎(chǔ)、原始的證據(jù)和公正客觀的觀察開始的,因此B選項(xiàng)人們從自身經(jīng)歷為基礎(chǔ)觀察正確,故選B.
67.A.理解推斷題.由第三段This expectation is a hypothesis.Hypotheses provide the motivation for the inquiry(探究),and influence the method,可知假設(shè)法是一種預(yù)期,它為探究提供動(dòng)力,并且影響著方法,因此起著引領(lǐng)的作用,故選A.
68.C.理解推斷題.由第四段If the predictions you make as a result of deducing certain consequences from your hypothesis are not shown to be correct then you abandon or adjust your hypothesis.If the predictions turn out to be correct then your hypothesis has been supported and may be kept until such time as some further test shows it not to be correct,如果你預(yù)測(cè)的結(jié)果推斷得到的某些后果沒有顯示你的假設(shè)是正確的,那么你要放棄或調(diào)整演繹結(jié)論,如果預(yù)測(cè)被證明是正確的那么你的假設(shè)要保持到進(jìn)行一些進(jìn)一步的測(cè)試來顯示它是正確的,可知在最終證明正確之間,中間要進(jìn)行許多測(cè)試,故選C.
69.B.理解推斷題.由最后一句句意:科學(xué)的方法可能更被認(rèn)為是一種研究的寫作方法,而不是進(jìn)行研究一種方式可知選B.
70.D.主旨?xì)w納題.由文章內(nèi)容可知,本文講述了科學(xué)研究的兩種方法--演繹法和歸納法,故選D.
點(diǎn)評(píng) 本篇文章難點(diǎn)在推斷題上.推斷題要以表面文字為前提,以具體事實(shí)為依據(jù)進(jìn)行推理,做出判斷.這種推理方式比較直接,考生只要弄清事實(shí),即可結(jié)合上下文推斷出合理的結(jié)論.