More than a third of the babies born this year could receive a 100th birthday message from whoever happens to be on the throne in the second decade of the 22nd century, according to figures published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). It forecasts that 35% of the 826,000 people born in 2012 will live to become centenarians.
But a long life is not unalloyed good news. David Sinclair, head of policy and research at the International Longevity Centre UK, warned that for many the future may mean social isolation(隔離)as they live longer than friends and members of their families.
"It is of course good news that so many more people are living longer," he said, "but there is a big 'but1. We will be older, but in worse health, and at high risk of living alone. The other problem is that we are very poor at forward planning. We deal with the problems that are under our noses, but even problems two or three years away seem quite distant enough to put off.When you're talking about forecasts for a time half a century away and more, I see no evidence that we are putting in place the measures to deal with it."
This year there will be 14,500 centenarians in the UK, a number which is expected to increase to 110,000 in 2035.
Women have higher life expectancies than men at every age: the likelihood of a girl born this year reaching her century is estimated to be 39%; for boys the figure is 32%.
The estimated number of female centenarians has risen from 500 in 1961 to more than 10,000 in 2010,a figure which is projected to reach 71,000 by 2035 and 276,000 by 2060.
Men are also living far longer, although their numbers are far fewer. There were an estimated 92 male centenarians in 1961 and just below 2,000 in 2010.
【小題1】The underlined word centenarians probably means people who_____.

A.a(chǎn)re born this year B.live longer than their friends
C.a(chǎn)re in poor health D.a(chǎn)re a hundred or more years old
【小題2】From what David Sinclair said, we can learn_____.
A.he doesn't believe so many people are living longer
B.the older we are, the more likely we are to live alone and in poor health
C.the people who are good at forward planning are likely to live longer
D.too distant planning is not always necessary for most of us
【小題3】Which of the following statement is true?
A.About 289,100 people born in 2012 will live to 100.
B.More men will reach their century than women in the future.
C.The number of the female centenarians was 1,000 in 1970s
D.More than 600 people reached their century in 1961.
【小題4】What does this passage mainly talk about?
A.A long life is not always good news.
B.A long life also means social and physical isolation
C.In the future, more people will live to 100 in the UK.
D.It is good to live to 100.


【小題1】D
【小題2】B
【小題3】A
【小題4】C

解析試題分析:世界上長(zhǎng)壽的百歲老人越來(lái)越多。長(zhǎng)壽并不是不讓人惱火的事。因?yàn)槲覀儽燃胰撕团笥验L(zhǎng)壽,這可能導(dǎo)致與社會(huì)隔離,更孤單。因?yàn)槟昀仙眢w狀況會(huì)更差。而我們對(duì)未來(lái)的計(jì)劃準(zhǔn)備得還不夠充分。平均女性比男性更長(zhǎng)壽。但是男性長(zhǎng)壽的人數(shù)比以前也增加了。
【小題1】詞意猜測(cè)題。文章第一段的意思:根據(jù)ONS發(fā)表的數(shù)字判斷:今年出生的三分之一的嬰兒可能會(huì)收到來(lái)自誰(shuí)將成為二十二世紀(jì)第二個(gè)十年里的百歲老人的百歲祝賀信息。2012年出生的826,000中有35%的人將成為世紀(jì)老人。再結(jié)合該單詞的詞根centen 推測(cè),centenarians 為世紀(jì)老人。故選D。
【小題2】推理判斷題。根據(jù)第二、三段David Sinclair所說(shuō)的話(huà)判斷:他認(rèn)為長(zhǎng)壽不一定是好消息。因?yàn)槟挲g越大身體狀況越差,比家人和朋友活得長(zhǎng)就意味著孤獨(dú)與社會(huì)隔絕。其他選項(xiàng)和他的觀(guān)點(diǎn)不符。故最佳選B。
【小題3】細(xì)節(jié)判斷題。最后一段的意思:女性比男性長(zhǎng)壽,所以B錯(cuò);C想在文中沒(méi)提;根據(jù)文章倒數(shù)第二段的1961年有500多人到百歲判斷,D錯(cuò);根據(jù)第一段最后一句話(huà)計(jì)算:826,000×35% =289,100,故選A。
【小題4】大意歸納題。根據(jù)第一段和后面的介紹判斷,文章要告訴讀者一個(gè)事實(shí):美國(guó)有越來(lái)越多的人將成為世紀(jì)老人。這個(gè)消息的好與壞是個(gè)別人對(duì)這一事實(shí)的分析評(píng)價(jià),屬于個(gè)人觀(guān)點(diǎn),偏離主題。故選C。
考點(diǎn):生活百味類(lèi)短文閱讀。

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